Program

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08:00 09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00	Registration 8:30 - 10:00 (1h30) Registration Opening registration Welcome 10:00 - 10:05 (05min) Welcome Olivier Gimenez Plenary 10:05 - 11:30 (1h25) Plenary Amphi Lamour › The interplay of relevance and generalization in Biostatistics - Jean-Dominique Lebreton, Centre d'écologie fonctionnelle et évolutive 10:05-10:45 (40min) › Statistical methods for non-linear ecological dynamic models - Simon Wood, University of Bath 10:45-11:30 (45min) Coffee break 11:30 - 11:45 (15min) Coffee break A1-Abundance I A2-Biodiversity I A3-Population dynamics I 11:45 - 13:30 (1h45) A1-Abundance I Amphi 206 Roland Langrock › Mixture models for estimating population abundance using spatially non-random commercial fisheries data - Verena Trenkel, Ifremer 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Large-scale monitoring of rare and elusive species combining capture-recapture with detection/non-detection data - Arnaud Lyet, World Wildlife Fund 12:00-12:15 (15min) › Estimating abundance from occurrence data - Wen-Han Hwang, Institute of Statistics, National Chung Hsing University 12:15-12:30 (15min) › The effect of model selection on point transect density estimation - Rocio Prieto Gonzalez, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 12:30-12:45 (15min) › A Variational Bayes approach to the analysis of site-occupancy models - Allan Clark, University of Cape Town 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Parameter redundancy of mixture models in mark recovery - Chen Yu, University of Kent 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Improving abundance estimation by combining capture-recapture and occupancy data - Laetitia Blanc, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive 13:15-13:30 (15min) 11:45 - 13:30 (1h45) A2-Biodiversity I Amphi 208 Steve Buckland › Conditional spatially explicit simulations of strongly 0-inflated data to estimate biodiversity indices - Nicolas BEZ, Institut de recherche pour le développement, UMR 212- Ecosystèmes marins exploités 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Beyond topographic habitats: wavelets and wombling identify meso-scale boundaries in 64km2 of lowland Amazon forest - Darren Norris, Universidade Federal do Amapá, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia 12:00-12:15 (15min) › FIDEGAM: A novel method based on Generalized Additive Models for quantifying the sampling effort in biodiversity databases - Maria Pata, Pyrenean Institute of Ecology 12:15-12:30 (15min) › Survey Design for Underwater Robots: Accomodating Auto correlation and Constrained Sampling - Scott Foster, CSIRO Computational Informatics 12:30-12:45 (15min) › On turnover measures of species communities - Hideyasu Shimadzu, University of St. Andrews 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Simulating vegetation dynamics and an observation process to support monitoring and evaluation of public investment in biodiversity: A case study from Australia's Biodiversity Fund - David Duncan, University of Melbourne 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Mapping diversity indices: a false simple question - victoria suntov, Université Montpellier 2, UMR 212 Ecosystèmes marins exploités 13:15-13:30 (15min) 11:45 - 13:30 (1h45) A3-Population dynamics I Amphi Lamour Byron Morgan › Choosing the right response: importance of time-scales in animal ecology - Claire SARAUX, Ecosystèmes marins exploités 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Consistency of Bayesian and maximum likelihood inference in state-space models of ecological systems with strongly nonlinear dynamics - Florian Hartig, Biometry and Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg 12:00-12:15 (15min) › Do dolphins alter their vocal behaviour in response to military sonar? A review of analytical methods - Cornelia Oedekoven, University of St. Andrews 12:15-12:30 (15min) › Estimation methods for nonlinear state-space models in ecology - Casper W. Berg, Danmarks Tekniske Universitet 12:30-12:45 (15min) › State space model selection and the many faces of DIC - Jonas Knape, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Advances in modeling the spatial dynamics of Pacific bigeye population with the use of conventional tagging data. - Inna Senina, Collecte Localisation Satellites 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Derivation and inference on the bivariate age- and size-specific mortality. - Fernando Colchero, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science 13:15-13:30 (15min) Lunch 13:30 - 14:30 (1h) Lunch B2-Citizen science B3-Integrated population models B1-Abundance II 14:30 - 16:00 (1h30) B2-Citizen science Amphi 206 Tiago Marques › Population dynamical effects of spring migration phenology in passerine birds - Andreas Lindén, Åbo Akademi University and Novia University of Applied Sciences 14:30-14:45 (15min) › Application of Bayesian integrated population models to national bird monitoring: a practical perspective - Rob Robinson, British Trust for Ornithology 14:45-15:00 (15min) › Designing volunteer based monitoring programs for Natura 2000 species in Flanders - Toon Westra, Research Institute for Nature and Forest 15:00-15:15 (15min) › Applying multiple imputation on waterbird census data - Thierry Onkelinx, Research Institute for Nature and Forest 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Assessing the use of counts of migrating birds to estimate broad-scale population trends - Tara Crewe, Western University 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Spatial epidemiology of foulbrood diseases in honey bees - Mark Shirley, Newcastle University 15:45-16:00 (15min) 14:30 - 16:00 (1h30) B3-Integrated population models Amphi 208 Takis Besbeas › Comparing survival estimates from unmarked population- and individual-level data - Mollie Brooks, Institute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich 14:30-14:45 (15min) › Ecological modelling in BUGS: Some tricks of the trade - Leslie New, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, US Geological Survey 14:45-15:00 (15min) › Estimation of time-varying selectivity in fish stock assessments using state-space models - Anders Nielsen, Danmarks Tekniske Universitet - DTU (DENMARK) 15:00-15:15 (15min) › Combining matrix models with life-history theory to improve estimation of intrinsic growth for data-poor populations - Peter Dillingham, George Perkins Marsh Institute, Clark University, University of New England 15:15-15:30 (15min) › How much does the choice of process model matter when combining data from multiple surveys? - Philip Dixon, Iowa State University 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Metapopulation Dynamics in the Cakile maritima-Alternaria brassicicola Host-Pathogen Interaction - Julien Papaïx, CSIRO - Plant Industry, INRA - Applied Mathematics and Informatics, INRA - Plant Health and Environment 15:45-16:00 (15min) 14:30 - 16:00 (1h30) B1-Abundance II Amphi Lamour Verena Trenkel › Spatial cue-mixture models for estimating bird song rate and population density - MG Efford, University of Otago 14:30-14:45 (15min) › Analysis of Extended Batch-Marking Studies - Laura Cowen, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria 14:45-15:00 (15min) › A spatial capture-recapture model for single catch trap data - Beth Gardner, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina State University 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Flexible density surface estimation for spatially explicit capture-recapture surveys - David Borchers, University of St Andrews (UK) 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Abundance and demography via close-kin, from lethal- or non-lethal sampling of adults alone - Mark Bravington, CSIRO Wealth From Oceans National Research Flagship 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Making R available to a wider audience: an example in power analysis software for capture-recapture studies - Rachel Fewster, Department of Statistics [Auckland] 15:45-16:00 (15min) Coffee break 16:00 - 16:15 (15min) Coffee break C1-Abundance III C2-Multispecies models C3-Spatial ecology 16:15 - 17:45 (1h30) C1-Abundance III Amphi 206 Simon Bonner › New analytical methods for camera trap data - Natoya Jourdain, University of Kent 16:15-16:30 (15min) › Chasing Shadows: Analysing data from camera trap studies - Greg Distiller, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, Department of Statistical Sciences 16:30-16:45 (15min) › Horvitz-Thompson whale abundance estimation adjusting for uncertain recapture, smoothed availability trends and interrupted effort - Geof Givens, Dept. of Statistics, Colorado State University 16:45-17:00 (15min) › Partial stratification in two-sample capture-recapture experiments. - carl schwarz, Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University 17:00-17:15 (15min) › Using AD Model Builder for spatially explicit capture-recapture inference with passive detectors - Ben Stevenson, University of St Andrews 17:15-17:30 (15min) › Estimating red snapper harvest by charter boats in the Gulf of Mexico - Vianey Leos Barajas, Iowa State University 17:30-17:45 (15min) 16:15 - 17:45 (1h30) C2-Multispecies models Amphi 208 Eric Rexstad › SCGLR: a component-based multivariate regression method to model species distributions - F Mortier, UR « Biens et Services des Ecosystèmes forestiers » 16:15-16:30 (15min) › Do old-growth birds go to secondary forest? A multi-species hierarchical model of site occupancy by Amazon forest birds - Ulisses Moliterno De Camargo, University of Helsinki 16:30-16:45 (15min) › Bayesian modeling to identify and map multi-species change points in the North American population trends of avian aerial insectivores - Adam C. Smith, Environment Canada, Canadian Wildlife Service 16:45-17:00 (15min) › Design-based inference about community composition and interactions using multivariate abundance data - David Warton, The University of New South Wales (AUSTRALIA) 17:00-17:15 (15min) › Bayesian parameter estimation of a multi species size spectrum model of the North Sea - Michael Spence, School of Mathematics and Statistics [Sheffield] 17:15-17:30 (15min) › Borrowing information: Hierarchical multispecies distribution models - Elizabeth Martin, The University of Melbourne 17:30-17:45 (15min) 16:15 - 17:45 (1h30) C3-Spatial ecology Amphi Lamour Jay ver Hoef › Incorporating species interactions into predictive species distribution models for invasive species - Jennifer Weaver, University of California, Berkeley 16:15-16:30 (15min) › Flexible spatial models and their relevance in ecology - Janine Illian, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, University of St Andrews (UK) 16:30-16:45 (15min) › Variable selection in ecological habitat modelling - Matthieu Authier, Observatoire PELAGIS, UMS 3462 16:45-17:00 (15min) › Ordinal outlier prediction model for the reconstruction of badger territories - Martin Alfredo Legarreta-Gonzalez, Universidad Autonoma de Chihuahua, University of Sheffield - Paul Blackwell, University of Sheffield 17:00-17:15 (15min) › Spatial spread of the brown rat resistance to rodenticides in Flanders - Ivy Jansen, Research Institute for Nature and Forest 17:15-17:30 (15min) › Are ecologists divided? Reconciling conflicting views in spatial modelling - Pedro Peres-Neto, Université du Québec à Montréal 17:30-17:45 (15min) Coffee break 17:45 - 18:00 (15min) Coffee break D1-Abundance IV D3-Spatial ecology II D2-Movement models I 18:00 - 19:00 (1h) D1-Abundance IV Amphi 206 Laura Cowen › Estimating abundance from multi-state closed capture-recapture data - Hannah Worthington, University of St Andrews 18:00-18:15 (15min) › Density dependent mortality in a European eel population: A Bayesian integrated population modelling approach - Clarisse Boulenger, Biologie des Organismes et Ecosystèmes Aquatiques 18:15-18:30 (15min) › Can we learn about the spatial pattern of species' abundance from its probability of presence? - Maria Grazia Pennino, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement 18:30-18:45 (15min) › Accounting for selective reporting in occupancy-abundance models for fishery-dependent data on bycatch species - Cleridy Lennert-Cody, Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission 18:45-19:00 (15min) 18:00 - 19:00 (1h) D3-Spatial ecology II Amphi 208 Janine Illian › Preferential sampling and inference from presence-only data - Ameur M. Manceur, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ (GERMANY) 18:00-18:15 (15min) › Goal-oriented evaluation of species distribution models' accuracy: exploring the True Skill Statistic profile - Alejandro Ruete, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences 18:15-18:30 (15min) › Spatial Pattern Analysis of Esca Grapevine Disease - Shuxian LI, Bordeaux Sciences Agros 18:30-18:45 (15min) › Continuous time capture-recapture - Richard Barker, University of Otago 18:45-19:00 (15min) 18:00 - 19:00 (1h) D2-Movement models I Amphi Lamour Len Thomas › 'Mixing dynamics': Quantifying population mixing rate from individual movements using the squared displacement modelling approach - Luca Börger, University of Wales 18:00-18:15 (15min) › Hierarchical Bayesian computing of 3-dimensional whale trajectories from electronic tags - Christophe Laplanche, Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement 18:15-18:30 (15min) › Comparison of methods that estimate seed dispersal kernels from genotypes of established seedlings - Etienne Klein, Biostatistique et Processus Spatiaux, INRA Avignon 18:30-18:45 (15min) › A novel framework for analyzing interactions between individuals: a case study using brown hyenas in northern Botswana - Jennifer Miller, University of Texas [Austin] 18:45-19:00 (15min) Ice breaker social 19:00 - 20:30 (1h30) Ice breaker social	Plenary 9:00 - 10:30 (1h30) Plenary Amphi Lamour › Ecological Prediction with High-Frequency “Big Data” Covariates - Christophe Wikle, University of Missouri 09:00-09:45 (45min) › The Well-Tempered Assemblage: Reducing Bias in the Estimation of Species Rank Abundance Distributions - Nicholas Gotelli, Department of Biology, University of Vermont 09:45-10:30 (45min) Coffee break 10:30 - 10:45 (15min) Coffee break E1-Abundance V E3-Distance sampling E2-Evolutionary ecology 10:45 - 12:15 (1h30) E1-Abundance V Amphi 206 Richard Barker › Identifying wild vs stocking components in fish recruitment despite the absence of identification data: an application to Atlantic salmon 0+ juveniles. - Etienne Prévost, INRA 10:45-11:00 (15min) › Implications of the grid spacing on the quality of spatially predicted species abundances - Olga Lyashevska, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research 11:00-11:15 (15min) › Using ecological principles to develop statistical models for the prediction of species' distribution and abundance - Ben Stewart-Koster, Griffith University 11:15-11:30 (15min) › Inferring animal abundance from associative behavior - Manuela Capello, ULB Université Libre de Bruxelles 11:30-11:45 (15min) › Using spatio-temporal models to infer ecological dynamics and estimate animal abundance from transect counts - Paul Conn, NOAA National Marine Mammal Laboratory 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Spatial autocorrelation in abundance models accounting for imperfect detection - Jérôme Guélat, Swiss Ornithological Institute 12:00-12:15 (15min) 10:45 - 12:15 (1h30) E3-Distance sampling Amphi 208 Rachel Fewster › Two-dimensional line transect methods for active acoustic surveys of pelagic fish populations - Martin Cox, Australian Antarctic Division 10:45-11:00 (15min) › Effects of cetacean depth on acoustic distance sampling surveys - Danielle Harris, Scottish Oceans Institute, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 11:00-11:15 (15min) › Optimising your survey design using DSsim / Distance 7.0 - Laura Marshall, University of St Andrews (UK) 11:15-11:30 (15min) › Comparison of methods for spatially explicit impact assessment of marine renewables - Lindesay Scott-Hayward, University of St Andrews 11:30-11:45 (15min) › Strategies for correlated covariates in distance sampling - David Miller, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Modeling animal epidemics: A penalized simulated maximum likelihood approach to estimate parameters for stochastic differential equations - Jennifer Hoeting, Colorado State University 12:00-12:15 (15min) 10:45 - 12:15 (1h30) E2-Evolutionary ecology Amphi Lamour Olivier Gimenez › Introducing a novel methodology for quantifying niche overlap - Laura Nunes, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment 10:45-11:00 (15min) › The use of mixture models in ecology and evolution: some examples describing cohort effects in ungulates - Sandra Hamel, University of Tromsø 11:00-11:15 (15min) › Bayesian inference in evolutionary ecology: random drift vs. selection - Otso Ovaskainen, Metapopulation Research Group, University of Helsinki 11:15-11:30 (15min) › An evolutionary perspective on reproductive individual heterogeneity in a marine vertebrate: how to tackle complex questions with real data in the presence of multiple sources of uncertainty? - Thierry Chambert, USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, MD, USA, Department of Ecosystem Science and Management, PennState University, University Park, PA, USA, Department of Ecology, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT, USA 11:30-11:45 (15min) › How to use molecular data to account for non random mating in quantitative genetic estimates derived from family structured experiments - Julie Gauzere, INRA 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Resistance surface selection for landscape genetics based on the optimization of a Matrix Selection Function, a simple and iterative statistical approach - Jean François CORNU, Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution - Montpellier 12:00-12:15 (15min) Break 12:15 - 12:30 (15min) Break F1-Capture/recapture I F3-Metapopulation models F2-Abundance VI 12:30 - 13:30 (1h) F1-Capture/recapture I Amphi 206 David Fletcher › Demography of small populations: incorporating prior information in multistate capture-recapture models - Blaise Piédallu, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Montpellier 12:30-12:45 (15min) › Synchronicity in survival of four insectivores in a wetland in South Africa - Dorine Jansen, Animal Demography Unit, University of Cape Town 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Estimating spatial, temporal and individual variability in dolphin cumulative exposure to boat traffic using spatially-explicit capture-recapture methods - Enrico Pirotta, will consider delivering lightning talk, Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Explicit integrated population modeling: Escaping the conventional assumption of independence - Audrey Béliveau, Department of Statistics and Acturial Science Simon Fraser university 13:15-13:30 (15min) 12:30 - 13:30 (1h) F3-Metapopulation models Amphi 208 Otso Ovaskainen › Estimation of demographic parameters of an insect pest in apple-orchards landscape, from genetic data - Emily WALKER, INRA-BioSP 12:30-12:45 (15min) › The impact of data quantity on decision making using a Bayesian stochastic patch occupancy model - Els Van Burm, University of Melbourne 12:45-13:00 (15min) › A spatial occupancy model for predicting metapopulation extinction risk - Richard Chandler, University of Georgia 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Estimating density-dependence in vital rates from spatially and temporally replicated counts of unmarked animals - Edwige Bellier, do not wish to be considered for lightning talk, Swiss Ornithological Institute 13:15-13:30 (15min) 12:30 - 13:30 (1h) F2-Abundance VI Amphi Lamour Rachel McCrea › Modelling species abundance across large spatial extents: opportunities and challenges - Alison Johnston, Cornell University 12:30-12:45 (15min) › Process-based estimation of ecological niches and range dynamics from demographic data and range-wide abundance variation - Frank Schurr, Landscape Ecology and Vegetation Science, University of Hohenheim, Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution - Montpellier 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Opportunistic data and estimation of species abundances in a habitat-structured space - Camille Coron, Laboratoire de Mathématiques d'Orsay 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Mixture models for multi-brooded butterflies species - Emily Dennis, University of Kent 13:15-13:30 (15min) Lunch 13:30 - 14:30 (1h) Lunch G1-Abundance VII G3-Community ecology I G2-Population dynamics 14:30 - 16:15 (1h45) G1-Abundance VII Amphi 206 Diana Cole › Modeling source and sink dynamics in the spread and subsequent eradication of an invasive non-native species - Aileen Mill, School of Biology, Newcastle University 14:30-14:45 (15min) › Probability distributions to model under-dispersed count data in a Bayesian regression context: evaluation of existing distributions and proposal of new ones to analyze biodiversity data - Frédéric Gosselin, Ecosystèmes forestiers 14:45-15:00 (15min) › Using integrated population models to monitor game species - Duane Diefenbach, Pennsylvania State University 15:00-15:15 (15min) › Using hierarchical null models to study the assembly of fungal communities - John Davison, University of Tartu 15:15-15:30 (15min) › The current status and the future of Baltic grey seal population - Jarno Vanhatalo, University of Helsinki 15:30-15:45 (15min) › On the challenge of fitting scaling laws in ecology - Franziska Taubert, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ (GERMANY) 15:45-16:00 (15min) › Effects of species' similarity and dominance on the functional and phylogenetic structure of an alpine plant meta-community - Loïc Chalmandrier, Laboratoire d'écologie alpine 16:00-16:15 (15min) 14:30 - 16:15 (1h45) G3-Community ecology I Amphi 208 Shirley Pledger › Zooplankton biodiversity in response to environmental change - Ola Diserud, Norwegian Institute for Nature research 14:30-14:45 (15min) › A shared component hierarchical model to represent how fish assemblages vary as a function of river temperatures and flow regimes - Jérémy Piffady, Milieux aquatiques, écologie et pollutions 14:45-15:00 (15min) › Modeling the feeding patterns of marine predators from stomach content data. - Marie Morfin, Mediterranean Institute of Oceanography 15:00-15:15 (15min) › Bias due to autocorrelation where no one expects it: the relationship between community-weighted mean traits and environmental variables - David Zeleny, Department of Botany and Zoology 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Non deterministic modeling of food web dynamics - Benjamin Planque, Institute of Marine Research 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Individual-based simulation of tree line dynamics in the Siberian North - Stefan Kruse, Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research - AWI (GERMANY) 15:45-16:00 (15min) › Species co-occurrence – Looking at species associations differently - Guillaume Blanchet, University of Helsinki 16:00-16:15 (15min) 14:30 - 16:15 (1h45) G2-Population dynamics Amphi Lamour David Borchers › Nonlinear modelling of rodent population cycles: constrasting the roles of direct versus delayed density dependence - Frederic Barraquand, University of Tromsø 14:30-14:45 (15min) › Incorporating landscape attributes into dynamic population models. - Edward Boone, Virginia Commonwealth University 14:45-15:00 (15min) › Estimating temporal changes in parameters of stochastic population models - Erik Solbu, Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics 15:00-15:15 (15min) › Inference for size demography from point pattern data using integral projection models - Souparno Ghosh, Department of Mathematics and Statistics [Texas Tech] 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Measuring distance between the compositional diet estimates produced by quantitative fatty acid signature analysis - Connie Stewart, University of New Brunswick Saint John 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Validation of a data-limited stock assessment method using data-rich stocks - Alexandros Kokkalis, Technical University of Denmark 15:45-16:00 (15min) › Modelling the population dynamics of a native plant: application to sustainable management of the babassu palm tree in Brazil - Nikolay Sirakov, Espace pour le Développement, Montpellier SupAgro, Mathématiques, Informatique et STatistique pour l'Environnement et l'Agronomie 16:00-16:15 (15min) Coffee break 16:15 - 16:30 (15min) Coffee break H1-Abundance VIII H3-Community ecology II H2-Big data I 16:30 - 17:45 (1h15) H1-Abundance VIII Amphi 206 Paul Conn › Discussing problems vs. finding solutions: an operational framework for dealing with imperfect detection in species distribution modelling - Peter Solymos, University of Alberta 16:30-16:45 (15min) › A community distance sampling model for estimating seabird abundance and distribution - Rahel Sollmann, North Carolina State University 16:45-17:00 (15min) › Using spatial models to refine distance eampling estimates of black bears - Earl Becker, Alaska Department of Fish and Game 17:00-17:15 (15min) › General model-based methods for distance sampling - Steve Buckland, University of St. Andrews 17:15-17:30 (15min) › Accounting for partial overlap of observation zones and lack of independence in MRDS, with application to abundance estimation of Hector's Dolphin - Darryl MacKenzie, Proteus Wildlife Research Consultants 17:30-17:45 (15min) 16:30 - 17:45 (1h15) H3-Community ecology II Amphi 208 Mark Bravington › Decomposing correlated occurrence with a hierarchical Joint Species Distribution Model - William Morris, Quantitative & Applied Ecology Group, School of Botany, The University of Melbourne 16:30-16:45 (15min) › State space modelling of temporal dependence in fisheries data using copulas - Geoffrey Hosack, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation 16:45-17:00 (15min) › Modelling dependence in ecological community data - Shirley Pledger, Victoria University of Wellington 17:00-17:15 (15min) › Optimal study design for multi-season, multi-species avian monitoring programs - Jamie Sanderlin, U.S. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station 17:15-17:30 (15min) › Stochastic models of grassland community dynamics: a winter wind on inter-annual predictions. - Théophile Lohier, Laboratoire d'ingénierie pour les systèmes complexes 17:30-17:45 (15min) 16:30 - 17:45 (1h15) H2-Big data I Amphi Lamour Mark Brewer › Identification uncertainty and probabilistic classification methods: from DNA sequences to bird species identity - Ulisses Moliterno de Camargo, Metapopulation Research Group, University of Helsinki 16:30-16:45 (15min) › Historical data for ecological monitoring and management evaluation, some practical experiences - Peter Vesk, University of Melbourne 16:45-17:00 (15min) › Estimating abundance from large data sets of counts in irregularly-spaced plots - Jay Ver Hoef, National Marine Mammal Laboratory, NOAA-NMFS Alaska Fisheries Science Center 17:00-17:15 (15min) › Causes of spatial synchrony in UK aphids - Lawrence Sheppard, Imperial College London 17:15-17:30 (15min) › Statistical ecology: everything we know isn't wrong - Mark Brewer, Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland 17:30-17:45 (15min) Poster 18:00 - 19:30 (1h30) Poster › A multi-method multi-species occupancy study with adaptive sampling of a small mammal assemblage - Fernando Arce, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › A novel application of Bayesian hierarchical models and recurrent event survival analysis to cetacean behavioural response studies - Dinara Sadykova, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Accounting for species taxonomy improves distribution models - Aidin Niamir, Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation of the University of Twente 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Acquired plant–animal interactions influence population growth rates of the invasive orchid Spathoglottis plicata in Puerto Rico - Wilfredo Falcón, University of Puerto Rico - Río Piedras Campus 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Analyzing effects of nonbreeders on population dynamics. - Aline Magdalena Lee, Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management [Berkeley] 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Bryozoan occupancy and abundance through the last three million years: extending process and observation models to the fossil record. - Torbjørn Ergon, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis (Oslo) 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Comparing species distribution model accuracies for various species groups and divergent species prevalences - Toon Van Daele, Research Institute for Nature and Forest 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Convenient analysis of numerous distance sampling data sets in R - Eric Rexstad, University of St. Andrews 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Cost-benefit model of clonal plants spread patterns - Jan Smycka, Department of Botany, Charles University in Prague 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Differentiating divaricating species of Sophora by the development of shoot architecture. - Steven Miller, Department of Statistics [Waikato] 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Do different fishery surveys data lead to same estimations? - Jose Maria Bellido, Instituto Español de Oceanografía 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Do you need all the moves? - Simon Bonner, Department of Statistics, University of Kentucky 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Effect of agriculture on local biodiversity in the tropics: A meta-analysis - D Ingram, University of Sussex 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Ensuring successful habitat creation despite ecological experimental design constraints - jose valdez, School of Environmental and Life Sciences - SELS (Callaghan, Australia) 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Estimating plastic and evolutionary change under density-dependence from time series - Jaime Ashander, Center for Population Biology, Department of Environmental Science & Policy 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Estimating the maximum size of giant squid (Architeuthis sp.) - Charles Paxton, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Fitting state-space models to scarse data for seal populations - Hans Skaug, University of Bergen 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Flexible mixed models in ADMB - Hans Skaug, University of Bergen 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Free-ranging marine mammals: the next 'ships of opportunity'? - Laurie Baker, Ocean Tracking Network, Dalhousie University, Department of Biology - Ian Jonsen, Ocean Tracking Network 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Habitat selection and occurrence analysis of “Scimitar horned Oryx” according to vegetation cover characteristics in Bouhedma National Park, Southern Tunisia - Houssem chedli TRAOUIT BEYOULI, Institut des Régions Arides, Institut National Agronomique de Tunisie 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › How to predict plant population dynamics out of static information - A case study of Succisa pratensis - Zdeněk Janovský, Dept. of Botany, Faculty of Science, Charles University 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Increasing power of using Ellenberg's indicator values for detecting changes in the environment. - Martin Weiser, Dept. of Botany, Faculty of Science, Charles University 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Modeling the challenging impacts of climate and fishing on the South Pacific jack Mackerel - Inna Senina, Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Monitoring by Satellites, CLS 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Modelling large scale fluctuations in salmonid abundance in the River Tyne (UK) using local resistivity counter data. - Zelda van der Waal, University of Newcastle upon Tyne 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › New methods of model-selection and assessment for complex capture-recapture models - Anita JEYAM, School of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Kent 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Occupancy models for characterizing the breeding phenology of Peruvian guano-producing seabirds - Giannina Paola Passuni-Saldana, Ecosystèmes marins exploités 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › On the importance of considering the precision of the measuring instrument in the statistical analyses in ecology - Gudelia Figueroa, Universidad de Sonora 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Past landscapes are they important to understand the current spatial genetic structure? A case study of South East Asian rodent populations. - Jean François CORNU, Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution - Montpellier 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Pixels, Euclidean buffers and accumulated cost surfaces, what spatial units to use to optimize ecological niche modelling of South-East Asian rodents species. - Jean François CORNU, Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution - Montpellier 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Predicting species distribution: complementarity of food webs and hierarchical Bayesian spatial modelling - Maria Grazia Pennino, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Predicting the number of new species in a subsequent sample for a finite population - Tsung-Jen Shen, National Chung Hsing University 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Quality control of biological indices: a first exercise for an index assessing ecological status of river phytobenthos in Flanders (Belgium) - Pieter Verschelde, Research Institute for Nature and Forest 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Quantifying temporal turnover in biodiversity, and how it varies spatially - Steve Buckland, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St. Andrews 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Reciprocal sign epistasis and truncation selection: when is recombination favorable? - Constance Vagne, Montpellier SupAgro 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Sample size calculations for natural resource surveys assuming zero-inflated beta distributions and AR1 time dependence - Hans Van Calster, Research Institute for Nature and Forest 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Spatial point process models to determine clustering of American Foulbrood in UK Honeybees - Aileen Mill, School of Biology, Newcastle University 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Spatially explicit capture-recapture methods in practice; estimating the density of an elusive reedbed Passerine - Iain Malzer, University of Glasgow 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › State-space modelling reveals the multiple drivers of rapid population decline in macaroni penguins - Catharine Horswill, British Antarctic Survey, University of Glasgow 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Stock separation based on Fourier analysis of a concave approximation to otolith contours applied to Greenland halibut in Norwegian and Greenland waters - Alf Harbitz, Institute of Marine Research 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › taxize: taxonomic search and retrieval in R - Eduard Szöcs, University Koblenz-Landau 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Temporal changes in parameters of biological community models - Erik Solbu, Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Temporal dynamics of orchid communities in Corsica: a study using a Bayesian multispecies site-occupancy model - Hélène Vogt-Schilb, Biotope, Centre d'écologie fonctionnelle et évolutive 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › The distribution of the expected numbers of individuals of detectable species as a way of describing species abundance - Eloísa Díaz-Francés, Centro de Investigación en Matemáticas 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › The effect of a colonising superpredator on mesopredator survival and reproductive strategies under declining food availability. - Sarah Hoy, University of Aberdeen 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › The effect of recycled individuals in tag-loss models - Laura Cowen, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › The use of spatio-temporal ecological models in predictive policing. - Charlotte Jones-Todd, University of St Andrews (UK) 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Using power analysis for monitoring environmental variables: New approaches applied to marine ecology in New Caledonia - Simon Van Wynsberge, Centre IRD – Nouméa, 101 Promenade Roger Laroque, Anse Vata 18:30-20:00 (1h30) › Using Vornoi tesselation to estimate animal home ranges - Johannes Signer, Georg-August-University [Göttingen] 18:30-20:00 (1h30) Banquet 20:00 - 22:30 (2h30) Banquet	Plenary 9:00 - 9:45 (45min) Plenary Amphi Lamour › Some solutions to the Behrens-Fisher problem for multivariate ecological data - Marti Anderson, Department of Statistics, University of Auckland 09:00-09:45 (45min) Coffee break 9:45 - 10:00 (15min) Coffee break I1-Capture/recapture II I2-Movement I I3-Biodiversity II 10:00 - 11:15 (1h15) I1-Capture/recapture II Amphi 206 Carl Schwarz › Goodness of fit procedures for Integrated Population Models - T Besbeas, Department of Statistics, Athens University of Economics and Business 10:00-10:15 (15min) › State-space models for incorporating multiple data sources in capture-recapture models - Tomas Bird, Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions 10:15-10:30 (15min) › Linking breeding outcome to the unknown time of arrival at the breeding site; a study of great tits - Eleni Matechou, Department of Statistics, University of Oxford 10:30-10:45 (15min) › An integrated population model for Svalbard reindeer - Aline Magdalena Lee, Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management [Berkeley] 10:45-11:00 (15min) › Integrated modelling of bird populations - The value of direct measures of recruitment - Stephen Baillie, British Trust for Ornithology 11:00-11:15 (15min) 10:00 - 11:15 (1h15) I2-Movement I Amphi 208 Philip Dixon › Behavioral inference and habitat modelling for the conservation of highly mobile animals - Clara PERON, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive 10:00-10:15 (15min) › Handling time varying environmental conditions when analysing acoustic telemetry data - Martin Pedersen, National Institute of Aquatic Resources 10:15-10:30 (15min) › Seabirds foraging within random forests - Sophie Bertrand, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement 10:30-10:45 (15min) › Drifting Fish Aggregating Device (dFAD) ocean trajectories and their consequences for fisher “foraging strategies” and pelagic ecosystems - Alexandra Maufroy, Ecosystèmes marins exploités (EME), Sète 10:45-11:00 (15min) › Using the Dirichlet distribution to specify a random effect on a transition probability matrix - Stacy DeRuiter, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 11:00-11:15 (15min) 10:00 - 11:15 (1h15) I3-Biodiversity II Amphi Lamour Rémi Choquet › Reserve selection in a dynamic habitat patch network - Henna Fabritius, Metapopulation Research Group, University of Helsinki 10:00-10:15 (15min) › Can haphazard sampling still be justified? - Adam Smith, Institute of Natural and Mathematical Sciences, Massey University 10:15-10:30 (15min) › Modelling non-negative continuous data with discrete mass at zero with an application to garden bird survey data - Ben Swallow, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 10:30-10:45 (15min) › Likelihood-based finite mixture models for ecological ordinal data - Daniel Fernandez, Victoria University of Wellington 10:45-11:00 (15min) › Bayesian mixture modeling to assess year-to-year fluctuations in age structure of Mediterranean anchovy and sardine - Elisabeth Van Beveren, Ecosystèmes marins exploités 11:00-11:15 (15min) Break 11:15 - 11:30 (15min) Break Plenary 11:30 - 12:15 (45min) Plenary Amphi Lamour › Statistical inference for complicated models in ecology and evolutionary biology - Mark Beaumont, School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol 11:30-12:15 (45min) INV2-Biodiversity INV1-Movement ecology INV3-Species distribution models 12:15 - 13:30 (1h15) INV2-Biodiversity Amphi 206 Sandrine Pavoine and Carlo Ricotta › SDR simplex: a framework for evaluating diversity-related structural properties in ecological data - Janos Podani, Eötvös University 12:20-12:35 (15min) › Quantifying spatial patterns of species diversity: integrating methods of spatial and diversity analyses - Raphaël Pélissier, UMR AMAP 12:35-12:50 (15min) › Inferring species richness from floras with heterogeneous sampling efforts - Ingolf Kühn, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ (GERMANY), German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig 12:50-13:05 (15min) › Estimation of dispersal rates with incomplete biodiversity inventories and temporal series of landscape images - Franck Jabot, Laboratoire d'ingénierie pour les systèmes complexes 13:05-13:20 (15min) 12:15 - 13:30 (1h15) INV1-Movement ecology Amphi 208 Juan Manuel Morales and Nicolas Bez › Validation data : keystone to move state-space models for movements to operational models for fisheries and marine ecology - STEPHANIE MAHEVAS, IFREMER-Ecologie et Modèles pour l'Halieutique 12:15-12:25 (10min) › Using stochastic differential equations to model fihing vessels displacement - Pierre Gloaguen, Ecologie et Modèles pour l'Halieutique 12:25-12:35 (10min) › When to be discrete: the importance of time formulation in understanding animal movement - Brett McClintock, NOAA National Marine Mammal Laboratory 12:35-12:45 (10min) › Fringe Benefits: The hidden utility of movement constraints in telemetry studies - Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University 12:45-12:55 (10min) › Statistical analysis of routine behaviour in animal movement - Louise Riotte-Lambert, Université Montpellier 2 - Sciences et Techniques, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive 12:55-13:05 (10min) › Integrating movement ecology with popuation dynamics: Approximate Bayesian computation approach - Jukka Siren, Metapopulation Research Group, University of Helsinki 13:05-13:15 (10min) 12:15 - 13:30 (1h15) INV3-Species distribution models Amphi Lamour Wilfried Thuiller and Bob Dorazio › What do we model when we model species distributions?: An ecological and statistical perspective - Geert Aarts, IMARES 12:15-12:30 (15min) › Combining Data in Species Distribution Models - Bob O'Hara, Biodiversity and Climate Change Research Centre 12:30-12:45 (15min) › New Species Distribution Modelling methods and making them relevant to users. - Greg McInerny, Department of Computer Science [Oxford] 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Water, water everywhere? Solutions to modelling the autocorrelated distribution of ubiquitous Amazonian vertebrates - Darren Norris, Universidade Federal do Amapá, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia 13:00-13:15 (15min) Lunch 13:30 - 14:30 (1h) Lunch Excursion 14:30 - 19:00 (4h30) Excursion Dinner on your own if not on excursion 20:00 - 22:00 (2h) Dinner on your own if not on excursion	J1-Abundance IX J3-Movement II J2-Capture/recapture III 9:00 - 10:45 (1h45) J1-Abundance IX Amphi 206 Roger Pradel › N-mixture models to estimate abundance and distribution of bird community at multiple forest sites in the Albertine Rift, Uganda - Mitchell Eaton, USGS, Southeast Climate Science Center 09:00-09:15 (15min) › A new N-mixture model for estimating population sizes of interacting species - Tobias Roth, University of Basel 09:15-09:30 (15min) › Accounting for imperfect detection when evaluating the effectiveness of invasive species control - Joslin Moore, School of Biological Sciences, Monash University 09:30-09:45 (15min) › Estimating wildlife population trends from incomplete census data - Gerard Ryan, ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions 09:45-10:00 (15min) › Analysing plant cover class data quantitatively: customized cumulative beta distributions show promising results - Basile Herpigny, Ecosystèmes forestiers 10:00-10:15 (15min) › Assessing changes in biodiversity over space and time - Phil Harrison, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling 10:15-10:30 (15min) › A host's breadth from extinction: Identifying co-extinction risk of pollinators in a threatened plant community. - Michaela Plein, ARC Centre of Excellence for in Environmental Decisions, School of Botany, University of Melbourne 10:30-10:45 (15min) 9:00 - 10:45 (1h45) J3-Movement II Amphi 208 Brett McClintock › Exact Bayesian inference for continuous-time modelling of animal movement - Paul Blackwell, University of Sheffield 09:00-09:15 (15min) › The correlated velocity continuous time animal movement model: theory, estimation and applications - Eliezer Gurarie, Department of Biology, University of Maryland 09:15-09:30 (15min) › Supervised vs. non-supervised hidden semi-Markov modeling for inferring behavioral modes from movement paths - Rocio Joo, Instituto del Mar del Peru 09:30-09:45 (15min) › Preferred habitat of juvenile southern bluefin tuna in the Great Australian Bight - Paige Eveson, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research 09:45-10:00 (15min) › Interpreting the movement behaviour of the flapper skate across the water column by Markov switching autoregressive models - Luigi Spezia, Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland 10:00-10:15 (15min) › Learning about colonization while managing metapopulations under an adaptive management framework - Darren Southwell, Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions 10:15-10:30 (15min) › Including drift in analyses of observation data reveals environmental effects on copepod biomass in the Barents Sea - Kristina Kvile, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis 10:30-10:45 (15min) 9:00 - 10:45 (1h45) J2-Capture/recapture III Amphi Lamour Eleni Matechou › Integrated population modeling of American black bears: An application of robust-design spatial capture-recapture combined with mark-recovery and recruitment - Daniel Linden, Maine Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Department of Wildlife Ecology, University of Maine 09:00-09:15 (15min) › Hierarchical modelling of population growth rate from individual capture-recapture data - Simone Tenan, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Montpellier 09:15-09:30 (15min) › Estimating variability from capture-recapture data using the SAEM algorithm - Maud Delattre, AgroParisTech 09:30-09:45 (15min) › Use of multi-events framework to explore breeding strategies in a long-breeding-cycle species - Guillaume SOUCHAY, Centre d'écologie fonctionnelle et évolutive, Swiss Ornithological Institute 09:45-10:00 (15min) › Exploring the consequences of reducing survey effort for detecting individual and temporal variability in survival - Jose Lahoz-Monfort, University of Kent, University of Melbourne 10:00-10:15 (15min) › Measuring non-Euclidean movement patterns in structured habitat networks using spatial capture-recapture models - Chris Sutherland, Cornell University 10:15-10:30 (15min) › Determining individual variation in growth and its implication for life history and population processes using the Empirical Bayes method - Simone Vincenzi, CSTAR, University of California Santa Cruz 10:30-10:45 (15min) Coffee break 10:45 - 11:00 (15min) Coffee break Plenary 11:00 - 11:45 (45min) Plenary Amphi Lamour › Statistical machismo vs common sense: when are new methods worthwhile? - Ben Bolker, Department of Mathematics & Statistics 11:00-11:45 (45min) K1-Capture/recapture IV K3-Species distribution models K2-Individual-based models 11:45 - 13:30 (1h45) K1-Capture/recapture IV Amphi 206 Hans Skaug › The problem with parameter redundancy - Diana Cole, University of Kent 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Hidden Markov and related models as powerful and versatile devices for modelling ecological time series - Roland Langrock, University of St. Andrews 12:00-12:15 (15min) › A multi-event capture-recapture model to account for mark loss: comparison of monitoring protocols in the southern elephant seal as a case study. - Marie Nevoux, Écologie et santé des écosystèmes 12:15-12:30 (15min) › Misidentification in mark-recapture: have you got the moves? - Matthew Schofield, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, Department of Statistics, University of Kentucky 12:30-12:45 (15min) › Efficient and flexible MCMC algorithms for capture-recapture using the NIMBLE software package - Daniel Turek, University of California, Berkeley 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Measuring lack-of-fit of a Bayesian model - David Fletcher, University of Otago 13:00-13:15 (15min) › A hidden Markov model framework for occupancy modeling - Olivier Gimenez, National Centre for Scientific Research 13:15-13:30 (15min) 11:45 - 13:30 (1h45) K3-Species distribution models Amphi 208 Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita › Point process model solutions to presence-only data problems - Ian Renner, University of Newcastle 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Towards AIC-like model weights and model averaging of black-box models - Carsten Dormann, Biometry and Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg 12:00-12:15 (15min) › Fast forward selection for correlated clustered data with a large number of predictor variables - Jakub Stoklosa, University of New South Wales 12:15-12:30 (15min) › Model selection for spatially adaptive two dimensional smoothers using a spatially adaptive smoothing algorithm (SALSA2D) - monique mackenzie, Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St. Andrews, 12:30-12:45 (15min) › hSDM, an R package for hierarchical species distribution models taking into account imperfect detection and spatial correlation of the observations - Ghislain Vieilledent, CIRAD, UPR BSEF 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Incorporating spatial autocorrelation into species distribution models alters forecasts of climate mediated range shifts - Beth Crase, University of Melbourne, National University of Singapore 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Using Dempster-Shafer's evidence theory for species distribution modelling - Aidin Niamir, Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation of the University of Twente 13:15-13:30 (15min) 11:45 - 13:30 (1h45) K2-Individual-based models Amphi Lamour Fred Mortier › Inferring on innate locust behavior with individual based models and an information criteria - C Piou, CIRAD UMR CBGP 11:45-12:00 (15min) › Vertical migrations of Bigeye tuna: A time series analysis based on dynamic optimal foraging - Uffe Thygesen, Centre of Ocean Life, Technical University of Denmark 12:00-12:15 (15min) › Modelling movement and activity patterns in black eagles Aquila verreauxii - Theoni Photopoulou, Centre for Statistics in Ecology, Environment and Conservation, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town 12:15-12:30 (15min) › Dealing with incomplete data in survival analysis: A model based on probabilistic prior information on time of occurrence - Rubén Manso, INRA-AgroParisTech UMR 1092. Laboratoire d'Etude de Ressources Forêt-Bois (LERFoB) 12:30-12:45 (15min) › From integrated population models to integral projection models - Rachel McCrea, University of Kent 12:45-13:00 (15min) › Animal migration modelling: an analytical description of the two-dimensional time-integrated Brownian bridge - Steffie Van Nieuland, KERMIT, Department of Mathematical Modeling, Statistics and Bioinformatics Ghent University 13:00-13:15 (15min) › Calibrating process-based models using several data sources and Approximate Bayesian Computation: illustration with a forest simulation model - Guillaume Lagarrigues, Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture - IRSTEA (FRANCE) 13:15-13:30 (15min) Lunch 13:30 - 14:30 (1h) Lunch Plenary 14:30 - 15:15 (45min) Plenary Amphi Lamour › Bayesians, frequentists, and pragmatists: the interaction of methods and software. - Perry De Valpine, UC Berkeley 14:30-15:15 (45min) L1-Abundance X L3-Big data II L2-Occupancy models 15:15 - 16:15 (1h) L1-Abundance X Amphi 206 Matt Schofield › Hierarchical Bayesian model for a strip-transect survey employing intense search units - Melissa Monk, Center for Stock Assessment Research 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Inferring habitat use, population distribution and total population size by combining individual-level and population-level data - Jussi Jousimo, Metapopulation Research Group, University of Helsinki 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Population trends and density: a spatial modeling approach applied to the giant clam Tridacna maxima in French Polynesia - Simon Van Wynsberge, Centre IRD – Nouméa, 101 Promenade Roger Laroque, Anse Vata 15:45-16:00 (15min) › New models for reptile and amphibian removal data - Byron Morgan, University of Kent 16:00-16:15 (15min) 15:15 - 16:15 (1h) L3-Big data II Amphi 208 Stéphane Dray › Analysing opportunist data in citizen sciences: statistical modelling for loose protocols - Pascal Monestiez, Biostatistique et Processus Spatiaux 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Quantifying the impact of human activity on seabird behaviour: a statistical perspective - Adam Butler, Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Building robust abundance indices combining commercial data and scientific survey - Marie-Pierre Etienne, AgroParisTech, INRA 15:45-16:00 (15min) › Multiple Method Inference reveals instability of index calibration experiments: counting tigers at macroecological scales - Arjun Gopalaswamy, Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Department of Zoology 16:00-16:15 (15min) 15:15 - 16:15 (1h) L2-Occupancy models Amphi Lamour Jose Lahoz-Monfort › Covariate measurement error and species distribution models: an important source of bias? - Nigel Yoccoz, University of Tromsø 15:15-15:30 (15min) › Imperfect detection impacts on the performance of species distribution models - Brendan Wintle, University of Melbourne 15:30-15:45 (15min) › Criteria for selecting species distribution models for management decisions - Michael McCarthy, The University of Melbourne 15:45-16:00 (15min) › Accounting for species detectability is not a waste! - Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita, University of Melbourne 16:00-16:15 (15min) Closing and student competition awards 16:15 - 16:45 (30min) Closing and student competition awards Announcement of ISEC2016 and student competition awards

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